World
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?
44.3%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑43.9% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 44.3% probability of this happening.
Current probability
44.3%
24h
+43.9%
7d
+43.9%
volume
$67K
Closing date
Oct 31, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi