World
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
3.3%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑1.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 3.3% probability of this happening.
Current probability
3.3%
24h
+2.5%
7d
+1.8%
volume
$278K
Closing date
Oct 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi