World
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
1.1%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓10.9% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.1% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.1%
24h
-11.4%
7d
-10.9%
volume
$115K
Closing date
Oct 30, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi