World
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
4.7%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓1.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 4.7% probability of this happening.
Current probability
4.7%
24h
-18.3%
7d
-1.8%
volume
$125K
Closing date
Oct 27, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi