World
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
1.5%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓8.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 1.5% probability of this happening.
Current probability
1.5%
24h
-20%
7d
-8.5%
volume
$83K
Closing date
Oct 27, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi