World
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
12%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 12% probability of this happening.
Current probability
12%
24h
-15.5%
7d
+0.5%
volume
$140K
Closing date
Oct 23, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi