World
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
28.7%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑14.2% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 28.7% probability of this happening.
Current probability
28.7%
24h
+5.8%
7d
+14.2%
volume
$76K
Closing date
Oct 23, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi