predly
World

Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?

85%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↑7.0% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 85% probability of this happening.

Current probability

85%

24h

+13.5%

7d

+7%

volume

$51K

Closing date

Dec 1, 2026

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi