World
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
0.7%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓1.1% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 0.7% probability of this happening.
Current probability
0.7%
24h
-1.1%
7d
-1.1%
volume
$58K
Closing date
Nov 4, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi