World
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?
99.3%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑75.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 99.3% probability of this happening.
Current probability
99.3%
24h
+75.8%
7d
+75.8%
volume
$126K
Closing date
Oct 24, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi