Politics
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?
3.2%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.4% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 3.2% probability of this happening.
Current probability
3.2%
24h
+0.1%
7d
+0.4%
volume
$57K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi