World
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
40%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑18.5% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 40% probability of this happening.
Current probability
40%
24h
+4.5%
7d
+18.5%
volume
$50K
Closing date
Jan 5, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi