predly
World

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

24%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

↓4.5% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 24% probability of this happening.

Current probability

24%

24h

-2.5%

7d

-4.5%

volume

$140K

Closing date

Jan 1, 2028

Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi