World
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?
5.8%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↓0.8% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 5.8% probability of this happening.
Current probability
5.8%
24h
-1.5%
7d
-0.8%
volume
$55K
Closing date
Jan 1, 2027
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi