Politics
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
0.9%
Market thinks YES
Predly estimate · Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.
↑0.3% this week
30 days agoToday
Why did this change?
Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.
Based on current prediction-market prices, the market estimates a 0.9% probability of this happening.
Current probability
0.9%
24h
+0.3%
7d
+0.3%
volume
$598K
Closing date
Nov 3, 2026
Live data from Polymarket and Kalshi