predly
World

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

5.9%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate ยท Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

โ†‘3.2% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Compare platforms

Polymarket

Updated just now

5.9%
volume
$202K
share of estimate
100%
View market