predly
World

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

1.2%

Market thinks YES

Predly estimate ยท Weighted by traded volume and market depth across platforms.

โ†“4.2% this week
30 days agoToday

Why did this change?

Get a plain-language summary of how this probability has moved recently.

Compare platforms

Polymarket

Updated just now

1.2%
volume
$51K
share of estimate
100%
View market